Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.043007 0.050035 0.057848 0.067176 0.078014 0.090213 0.104993
2025-11-23 0.031856 0.040984 0.052184 0.066940 0.085886 0.109417 0.140908
2025-11-30 0.025923 0.036011 0.049355 0.068308 0.094570 0.129736 0.180519
2025-12-07 0.021312 0.031526 0.045895 0.067603 0.099624 0.145230 0.215337
2025-12-14 0.017664 0.027583 0.042300 0.065745 0.102246 0.157074 0.246033
2025-12-21 0.014872 0.024371 0.039146 0.063825 0.104141 0.167638 0.275742
2025-12-28 0.013322 0.022811 0.038221 0.065096 0.110967 0.186406 0.320610
2026-01-04 0.011873 0.021172 0.036885 0.065404 0.116093 0.202851 0.363589
2026-01-11 0.010637 0.019699 0.035592 0.065530 0.120794 0.218978 0.407924
2026-01-18 0.009708 0.018633 0.034839 0.066460 0.126947 0.238258 0.460275
2026-01-25 0.009017 0.017900 0.034576 0.068216 0.134777 0.261421 0.522755
2026-02-01 0.007953 0.016303 0.032478 0.066156 0.134966 0.270104 0.558114
2026-02-08 0.007213 0.015268 0.031369 0.065966 0.138962 0.286927 0.612621
2026-02-15 0.006518 0.014232 0.030127 0.065348 0.142008 0.302251 0.666210
2026-02-22 0.006079 0.013678 0.029803 0.066605 0.149151 0.326887 0.742984
2026-03-01 0.005523 0.012791 0.028654 0.065903 0.151904 0.342436 0.801684
2026-03-08 0.004947 0.011779 0.027103 0.064089 0.151897 0.351864 0.847608
2026-03-15 0.004435 0.010847 0.025615 0.062217 0.151495 0.360303 0.892270
2026-03-22 0.004185 0.010508 0.025450 0.063456 0.158635 0.387107 0.984869
2026-03-29 0.003899 0.010043 0.024928 0.063756 0.163512 0.409092 1.068434
2026-04-05 0.003630 0.009585 0.024366 0.063879 0.167954 0.430542 1.153514
2026-04-12 0.003427 0.009271 0.024122 0.064785 0.174526 0.458133 1.258412
2026-04-19 0.003280 0.009084 0.024182 0.066497 0.183443 0.492848 1.387176